12 September 2025 Weekly Market Recap

5 min read     I     Date: 10 September 2025

Market Data
 

Asset Class Currency1-wk1-mthYTD2024
       
Equities      
MSCI World USD1.5%2.4%14.8%17.0%
S&P 500 USD1.6%2.2%12.0%23.3%
Nasdaq USD1.9%1.1%14.7%24.9%
Russell 2000 USD0.2%5.1%7.5%10.0%
Stoxx 600-Europe EUR1.0%1.3%9.4%6.0%
Nikkei 225 JPY4.1%4.9%12.2%19.1%
MSCI Asia Pac ex-Japan USD3.9%5.7%22.6%7.6%
ASEAN USD1.5%2.6%12.5%7.7%
Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index CNY1.4%8.8%15.0%14.7%
Hang Seng Index HKD4.0%6.3%32.3%17.5%
Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index CNY1.5%5.3%15.5%12.7%
FBMKLCI MYR2.3%3.0%-1.7%12.8%
Fixed Income      
Bberg Barclays Global Agg Index USD0.2%1.2%8.0%-1.7%
JPM Asia Credit Index-Core USD0.8%2.0%7.5%6.0%
Asia Dollar Index USD0.2%0.3%3.4%-4.1%
       
Top Performing Principal Funds
 
      
Equities   1-mth as of (31 August 2025) YTD as of (31 August 2025) 
Principal China Direct Opportunities USD   12.1230.34 
Principal US High Conviction Equity USD   8.988.31 
Principal Greater Bay USD
 
   7.4322.38 
Balanced
 
      
Principal Emerging Markets Multi Asset USD   2.5913.69 
Principal Lifeetime Balanced   2.45-4.50 
Principal Islamic Lifetime Balanced Growth
 
   2.08-2.97 
Fixed Income
 
      
Principal Islamic Lifetime Sukuk   0.474.02 
Principal Lifetime Bond   0.464.23 
Principal Conservative Bond   0.444.07 


Source: Bloomberg, market data is as of 12 September 2025.
*As we emphasise a long-term focus, the top performing funds were selected based on monthly performance.
*The numbers may show as negative if there is no positive return for the period under review.
*The fund performance was referenced from the daily performance report, data was extracted from Lipper.
*The performance figures are based on the fund’s respective currency class.
*Past performance is not an indication of future performance.
 

Market Review1

  1. This week, the global financial markets showed positive performance. Japan experienced largest positive gains, followed by the United States and Europe.
     
  2. Across Asia, majority of the markets showed positive performances. South Korea led the way with the largest gains, followed by both onshore and offshore markets in China. In Malaysia, the FBMKLCI ended the week with a positive gain. 
     
  3. In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury edged lower to the 4.05% range, as investors took signs of weakening jobs and tame inflation as indicators that the Federal Reserve may lower interest rates next week. (It’s worth noting that bond prices move inversely to bond yields.)

Macro Factors

  1. In the United States, the August CPI report showed consumer prices rose 0.4% on the month, above expectations, but the annual rate held at 2.9%, in line with forecasts. Jobless claims added to signs of a slowing labor market, rising by 27K to 263K, the highest since 2021. traders priced in a near-certain quarter-point cut at the Fed’s September 17 meeting, with odds of a larger half-point move ticking up.2
     
  2. In Europe, the ECB left rates unchanged for a second straight meeting, with President Christine Lagarde noting that growth risks are now more balanced and declaring the disinflationary process “over”—a signal that the rate-cutting cycle has likely concluded. Updated projections showed eurozone GDP growth of 1.2% in 2025 (up from 0.9% in June), slowing to 1.0% in 2026, with 2027 unchanged at 1.3%. Inflation forecasts were nudged slightly higher, to 2.1% in 2025 (vs. 2.0%).3
     
  3. In China, Consumer prices fell 0.4% year-on-year in August, the sharpest decline in six months, while producer prices dropped 2.9%, moderating from July’s 3.6% fall. Trade surplus came in at USD 102.33 billion in August 2025, higher than the USD 91.29 billion recorded in the same month a year earlier, as exports continued to outpace imports. Exports grew 4.4% yoy, falling short of forecasts and easing from a 7.2% rise in July, as a temporary boost from Beijing's tariff truce faded. Meanwhile, imports rose by 1.3%, below expectations and slowing from a 4.1% gain in July, as a persistent property sector downturn, rising job insecurity, and the tapering of consumer-focused stimulus kept domestic demand subdued. 4
     
  4. In Malaysia, industrial production expanded by 4.2% year-on-year in July 2025, accelerating from a downwardly revised 2.9% growth in June and beating market expectations of a 1.7% increase. Unemployment rate held steady at 3.0% in July 2025, unchanged from the previous month. The number of unemployed persons edged up by 0.6% from June to 521.6 thousand, while employment rose by 0.2% to 16.95 million, driven mainly by gains in services, manufacturing, construction, agriculture, and mining.5

Investment Strategy6

  1. With the Fed set to resume rate cuts imminently and cash returns set to fall further, we believe it remains a good time to put cash to work. We maintain the rational for investing in both Equity and Fixed Income remains strong, and we still foresee additional growth in the coming years. Our base case remains that the US Central Bank will cut rates, and rate cuts have typically been supportive for stock markets during non-recession periods, as well as further benefits for fixed income. 
     
  2. Investors are advised to keep sight of longer-term investing principles that can boost risk-adjusted rates of return through portfolio diversification and a phased- in strategy. This can help to manage the risk of poor timing, reduce the influence of emotion, and provide more opportunities to benefit from market dips and rebounds. Our strategy emphasized focusing on companies that demonstrate the attributes of quality growth, with earnings that are more domestically focused. Additionally, quality bonds have historically offered portfolio stability, especially in times of uncertainty.

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Sources:
1 Bloomberg, 12 September 2025
2 Bloomberg, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), ISM, S&P Global, US Federal Board, 12 September 2025
3 S&P Global, ECB, Factset, Bank of England (BoE), 12 September 2025
4 Bloomberg, National Bureau of Statistic China, CEWC, 12 September 2025
5 Department of Statistic Malaysia, S&P Global, 12 September 2025
6 Principal view, 12 September 2025

*SEZ refers to Special Economic Zone
*PMI refers to Purchasing Manufacturing Index
*HCOB refers to Hamburg Commercial Bank
*NBS PMI refers to official data released by National Bureau of Statis in China
*Caixin PMI refers to data published by Caixin Media and ISH Markit. It provides alternative gauge focusing on smaller and medium-sized enterprises. 
*ECB refers to European Central Bank
*PBOC refers to People’s Bank of China
*PCE refers to Personal Consumption Expenditure
*FOMC: Federal Open Market Committee
*y-o-y refers to year on year
*m-o-m refers to month on month
*UST refers to United States Treasury
*BNM refers to Bank Negara Malaysia

 

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Disclaimer: We have based this document on information obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warranty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accuracy, completeness, or correctness. Expressions of opinion contained herein are those of Principal Asset Management Berhad only and are subject to change without notice. This document should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell Principal Asset Management Berhad’s investment products. The data presented is for information purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or adopt any investment strategy. This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice regarding a particular investment or the markets in general, nor is it intended to predict or depict performance of any investment. We recommend that investors read and understand the contents of the funds’ prospectus and product highlights sheet available on the Principal website, which have been duly registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia (SC). Registration of these documents does not amount to nor indicate that the SC has recommended or endorsed the product or service. There are risks, fees and charges involved in investing in the funds. You should understand the risks involved, compare, and consider the fees, charges and costs involved, make your own risk assessment, and seek professional advice, where necessary. This article has not been reviewed by the SC.