28 December 2025 Weekly Market Recap

5 min read     I     Date: 19 December 2025

Market Data
 

Asset Class Currency1-wk1-mthYTD2024
       
Equities      
MSCI World USD3.7%-0.6%18.7%17.0%
S&P 500 USD3.7%-0.6%16.5%23.3%
Nasdaq USD4.9%-2.2%21.1%24.9%
Russell 2000 USD5.5%-0.2%12.1%10.0%
Stoxx 600-Europe EUR2.6%0.2%13.7%6.0%
Nikkei 225 JPY3.3%0.1%25.8%19.1%
MSCI Asia Pac ex-Japan USD2.7%-3.3%23.6%7.6%
ASEAN USD1.5%-0.3%10.1%7.7%
Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index CNY1.5%-3.6%15.0%14.7%
Hang Seng Index HKD2.5%-1.8%29.1%17.5%
Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index CNY1.4%-2.5%16.0%12.7%
FBMKLCI MYR-0.8%-0.7%-2.4%12.8%
Fixed Income      
Bberg Barclays Global Agg Index USD0.7%-0.6%7.9%-1.7%
JPM Asia Credit Index-Core USD0.2%-0.1%8.7%6.0%
Asia Dollar Index USD0.5%-0.4%2.4%-4.1%
       
Top Performing Principal Funds
 
      
Equities   1-mth as of (30 October 2025) YTD as of (30 October 2025) 
Principal Biotechnology Discovery USD   12.5337.62 
Principal Islamic Asia Pacific Dynamic Equity MYR   9.8717.97 
Principal DALI Global Equity MYR
 
   9.6020.56 
Balanced
 
      
Principal Asia Pacific Dynamic Mixed Asset MYR   4.2012.30 
Principal Heritage Balanced MYR Hedged   3.5613.24 
Principal Emerging Markets Multi Asset USD
 
   3.4321.93 
Fixed Income
 
      
Principal Islamic Global Sukuk USD   0.505.34 
Principal Lifetime Bond   0.334.62 
Principal Deposit   0.272.94 


Source: Bloomberg, market data is as of 28 December 2025.
*As we emphasise a long-term focus, the top performing funds were selected based on monthly performance.
*The numbers may show as negative if there is no positive return for the period under review.
*The fund performance was referenced from the daily performance report, data was extracted from Lipper.
*The performance figures are based on the fund’s respective currency class.
*Past performance is not an indication of future performance.
 

Market Review1

  1. This week, global financial markets were largely positive. In developed markets, the United States led the gains, followed by Japan and Europe.
     
  2. Across Asia, markets exhibited positive performances. The Taiwan region led the gains, followed by the onshore and offshore markets in China. Meanwhile, in Malaysia, the FBMKLCI ended the week with a marginal decline.

     

  3. In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury remained in the 4.02% range as investors look ahead to next week’s release of the personal consumption expenditures index, which will offer key insights ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision at its December meeting. (It’s worth noting that bond prices move inversely to bond yields)

Macro Factors

  1. In the United States, markets are now looking at an 85% chance of a 25 basis point cut in December, a sharp jump from about 30% a week ago. Three additional cuts are also being priced in by the end of 2026. Those expectations strengthened after reports that White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett is the leading contender for the next Fed chair, a choice investors view as aligned with President Donald Trump’s preference for lower rates. Meanwhile, latest data showed initial jobless claims unexpectedly declined and durable goods orders beat forecasts. 2
     
  2. In Europe, the HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI came in at 52.4 in November 2025, just below October’s 52.5 and broadly in line with market expectations, preliminary data showed. Growth continued to be driven by the services sector, while manufacturing activity expanded only marginally. On the monetary policy front, ECB policymakers agreed that keeping interest rates unchanged remained appropriate amid elevated uncertainty, with some members even suggesting that no additional easing may be necessary, according to the minutes of the October 29–30 meeting. 3
     
  3. In China, property market is bracing for a worsening crisis at state-backed China Vanke Co, as the builder struggles to convince investors it can avoid default in the months ahead without clearer signs of government support. On macro, FDI fell by 10.3% to CNY 621.93 billion on the year to October of 2025, extending the two-and-a-half-year ongoing streak of contractions, albeit at the softest magnitude since December of 2023. Meanwhile, investors are looking ahead to the upcoming Politburo meeting and the Central Economic Work Conference (CEWC) in December for possible insights into next year’s economic strategy and policy direction. 4
     
  4. In Malaysia, Johor is emerging as a regional data centre hub, is raising the bar for new projects as authorities seek to curb the heavy water use that’s straining local supplies. The government will stop approving applications for lower tier centres that have more basic infrastructure as they could use as much as 50mn litres of water a day, which could strain local water supplies. On macro, producer prices fell 0.1% year-on-year in October 2025, easing from a 0.8% decline in the previous month and marking the mildest drop in an eight-month streak of decreases. 5

Investment Strategy6

TWith more policy easing expected, investors should ensure appropriate exposure aligned with their financial plans. We anticipate the US central bank will cut rates twice by early 2026, creating a favourable environment for equities and quality bonds.

Historically, US stocks perform well during Fed rate cuts when the economy avoids recession, supported by fiscal measures and strong balance sheets, while tariff impacts fade. Falling yields also boost capital gains for quality bonds, offering attractive risk-reward and steady income amid slowing growth.

Investors are advised to keep sight of longer-term investing principles that can boost risk-adjusted rates of return through portfolio diversification and a phased in strategy. This can help to manage the risk of poor timing, reduce the influence of emotion, and provide more opportunities to benefit from market dips and rebounds. Our strategy emphasized focusing on companies that demonstrate the attributes of quality growth, with earnings that are more domestically focused. Additionally , quality bonds have historically offered portfolio stability, especially in times of uncertainty.

 

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Sources:
1 Bloomberg, 28 December 2025
2 Bloomberg, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), ISM, S&P Global, US Federal Board, 28 December 2025
3 S&P Global, ECB, Factset, Bank of England (BoE), 28 December 2025
4 Bloomberg, National Bureau of Statistic China, CEWC, 28 December 2025
5 Department of Statistic Malaysia, S&P Global, 28 December 2025
6 Principal view, 28 December 2025

*SEZ refers to Special Economic Zone
*PMI refers to Purchasing Manufacturing Index
*HCOB refers to Hamburg Commercial Bank
*NBS PMI refers to official data released by National Bureau of Statis in China
*Caixin PMI refers to data published by Caixin Media and ISH Markit. It provides alternative gauge focusing on smaller and medium-sized enterprises. 
*ECB refers to European Central Bank
*PBOC refers to People’s Bank of China
*PCE refers to Personal Consumption Expenditure
*FOMC: Federal Open Market Committee
*y-o-y refers to year on year
*m-o-m refers to month on month
*UST refers to United States Treasury
*BNM refers to Bank Negara Malaysia
*Caixin decided to end its title sponsorship of the S&P Global China Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) as of July 2025. This decision was part of a "strategic adjustment" for Caixin, aligning with its long-term development needs. Caixin had been the title sponsor since 2015, using it as a way to expand into the data sector and analyze China's economic transformation. Following Caixin's departure, RatingDog (Shenzhen) Information Technology Co., Ltd., a Chinese credit research and bond rating company, successfully acquired the exclusive naming rights for the "S&P Global China PMI". Starting with the August 2025 data release, the index was officially renamed the "RatingDog China PMI". S&P Global continues to be responsible for compiling and releasing the monthly report.

 

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Disclaimer: We have based this document on information obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, but we do not make any representation or warranty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accuracy, completeness, or correctness. Expressions of opinion contained herein are those of Principal Asset Management Berhad only and are subject to change without notice. This document should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe or sell Principal Asset Management Berhad’s investment products. The data presented is for information purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any securities or adopt any investment strategy. This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice regarding a particular investment or the markets in general, nor is it intended to predict or depict performance of any investment. We recommend that investors read and understand the contents of the funds’ prospectus and product highlights sheet available on the Principal website, which have been duly registered with the Securities Commission Malaysia (SC). Registration of these documents does not amount to nor indicate that the SC has recommended or endorsed the product or service. There are risks, fees and charges involved in investing in the funds. You should understand the risks involved, compare, and consider the fees, charges and costs involved, make your own risk assessment, and seek professional advice, where necessary. This article has not been reviewed by the SC.